Farmers have long memories: Trump’s climate record could hurt him in Iowa
In rural Iowa, farmers bearing the brunt of climate change may play an outsize role in electing the next president
OCTOBER 17, 2020 4:23PM (UTC)
This article originally appeared on Capital & Main.
Environmental activists in Iowa, from the local Sierra Club to the grassroots Bold Iowa, have long fought the Dakota Access Pipeline (DAPL), or “dapple” as Puntenney calls it. They rejoiced when the Obama administration denied its permit in the last month of that president’s term, and they grieved when Trump almost immediately expedited the pipeline’s construction by executive order. They have continued to fight since the pipeline went into service in June of 2017, and in the run-up to the Iowa Democratic caucuses on February 3, they badgered Democratic hopefuls at public gatherings to oppose a plan to double DAPL’s flow. (“Harris was always good” on that count, Bold Iowa’s Ed Fallon said. “Not as good as Tom Steyer, but certainly better than Biden.”)
To the extent that the state’s farmers agree with them, it’s less because they worry that more oil pipelines mean more exported oil, stoking the forces that fuel ever-bigger wildfires in the West and record flooding in the East. It’s more because the oil lobby keeps trying to hobble the Renewable Fuel Standard, a 15-year-old government program that requires a certain volume of biofuels to replace petroleum-derived gasoline and diesel. Iowa produces more corn-based ethanol than any other; 39 percent of the corn grown in the state goes into the fuel.
That doesn’t mean those farmers are climate voters. As a rule, farmers in rural Iowa have been reluctant to use the term “climate change” at all, Wally Taylor, chair of the Iowa Chapter of the Sierra Club, told me. “They call what they’re seeing ‘evolving weather patterns,” he said. “There are some legislators who understand the science, but they’re [still] careful not to call it ‘climate change.'”
But it does mean that what Puntenney calls the “deeply Republican and bottom-line oriented” farmers of Iowa may be inclined this year to vote in greater numbers for Democrats. Incumbent Sen. Joni Ernst, a Republican, “has basically supported a lot of fossil-fuel folks over and above the ethanol folks,” Puntenney said. The “Trump embargo” – the trade war with China that hit soybean farmers hard – didn’t help either. “China was our No. 1 buyer of soybeans for years and years and years. Now they’ve gone to South America [for their soybeans].” He doubts they’re coming back.
“Farmers have long memories when you start picking their pockets,” Puntenney said. “And they aren’t stupid.”
Puntenney and his allies lost their trespassing case against Iowa regulators and DAPL at the district court level and again in the Iowa Supreme Court. But Puntenney hasn’t given up. In July, U.S. District Court Judge James Boasberg ordered DAPL shut down and emptied, a ruling that was subsequently stayed by an appeals court, which has allowed the pipeline to operate while the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers completes an environmental review. It’s something most Iowans believe is long overdue: A 2016 Des Moines Register/Mediacom pollof the state found that 51 percent of respondents thought the pipeline hadn’t been studied enough, including a plurality of Republicans.
Puntenney is hoping a new Democratic administration will step in and put an end to the whole business. “It’s a question of whether Biden’s willing to do what Obama did and say not only no, but hell no,” he said. His more anti-pipeline vice president might need to lobby him, he said. But in any event, “He needs to make some heads roll.”
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